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Tuesday, January 3, 2012

My View on 2012 Stock Market

In a flash, year 2011 is over and I believe
many readers are certainly glad that the
"Bad Year" is finally over, or is it really the case.
We have a rather volatile and irrational year
that we want to forget, but it is what we as an
investor and trader should really remember and
learn from it. It is an invaluable experience and
this knowledge will stay with us for years.

On 5th October 2011, I posted in blog that
"For the readers who are with the blog for a while,
you should know that I like to stick my head out
in order to challenge something or to prove a point.
Guess what, I am putting my head on the deadly gallow
again. I am stating that on 31 December 2011, STI is
going to close higher than 2531 which was yesterday's
closing figure.
Also, most volatile and active trading stocks
are going to close above their closing yesterday as well.
I certainly hope it is not a moment of folly or maddness
by me, and I maintain my confidence and belief that it
will be the case by the end of the year."
I am glad that my head is still with me and if you read
on, I am going to stick my head out again.

There are many reports stating that we are going to
have a very bad 2012, and the market is going to fall
further on the uncertainties and crisis coming from both
Europe and US. If you read the Straits Times recently,
there was an article saying that "More Singaporeans are
turning pessimistic about the economy...and only 24%
expect the economy to improve over the coming year"
I am very happy to read such news and I am cautiously
optimistic that we are going to have a good 2012.
As always, I believe in the market will move ahead of
extreme pessimism and we are heading toward a
fruitful trading year. 物极必反,否极泰来!
Somehow, I am always the cup-half-full person and
I believe that any crisis is a great opportunity to enter
the market. 危机就是转机!!

Yes, I know that there are many people saying that
the Europe crisis will worsen and we are going to
have a Financial Armageddon that will bring us back
to the darkness. All these rumour-monger and 
extreme-pessimist are only going to be happy for a
few months this year only. I am quite confident that
we will going to have a sparkling rewarding 2nd half
of the year and maybe even more than 6 months.
The Europe crisis will still be popping out every now
and then, and any resolution will take time and it
will be painful. But do take note that the market always
move in advance about 6-9 months and this is going
to happen once again. History will prevail again!

Oh ya, for those who say that the world will end on 
2012, and specifically on 20-12-2012, I can only tell
you to dream on and continue to dream and dream.
I will continue to enjoy 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016........


Moreover, we have the US election this year and
Obama will deliver impressive data and figures throughout
the year. Do take note that the base value of the data
is very low given what happened last year and a slight
increase will mean a big jump in percentage value.
This should bring cheers and hurrays to the market and
will propel it to a higher and higher ground as the election
is near. 


I have been trading for quite long and I have seen many
scenario being play-out again. Even in super-bull years,
there are still stocks that will ended in red or even bankrupt.
In any bear market, a handful of stocks will still be running
wild and be bullish and making money for the investors and
traders. 


Last year, I "spotted" a couple of stocks like STX OSV,
Sinograndness, Genting that made quite a pile for some
investors and traders. This year, I am going to stick out
my head again and give a few stocks that I believe will
become superstar winners.


For China Minzhong, GLP, STX OSV, Noble, NOL, Yanlord,
Biosensors, I am looking at a > 40-50% upside this year.
For Ezion, Ezra, First Resources, IndoAgri, YZJ, I am
looking at a >30-40% upside.  
And yes, I am sticking out my head on the above-mentioned
stocks. There will be readers who will ask me that whether
there are still some others. I also like Sakari, Olam, and I
am watching closely on CWT, CSE, PEC and China Fishery.
But like what I mentioned times and times again, you need
not see 20-30 stocks to make $$$ in the market, you simply
only need a handful of winners stocks in your watch to make
it a profitable and rewarding year.
Don't worry, along the year, if and when I spotted some
stocks in play, I will post on the blog for the readers
to profit.


We may still have market weakening this year, and 
even a sell-down, but we should be very happy that such
thing is happening as it is a major bargain hunting opportunity.
If you are in the market long enough, you will realise that
in each year, there will be great buying opportunities and
a few months of quiet market activities when you should be
cautious and get ready to take out the money. This year 2012
is no exception. "It never was my thinking that made the big
money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!"
If you don't know who said the above quote, google it,
I am not going to spoon-feed this time.

I have my critics last year and I just saw that I have another
comment that reads "thanks for all ur bullshit for the whole year.
Ur Year end rally that never come.. and Thanks to u ...
i lost quite a bit...Happy New Year Mr BullShit"
I am actually quite frank and direct about my likes and
dislikes and how I feel about the market. I am not the
holy grail of trading and I never will be one. I am giving out
what I feel about the market and stocks based on my trusted
charts and drawing from the experience and knowledge on
the market as well. If you don't like what I say or feel that
I am just talking cyber rubbish and bullshit, then by all means,
stop reading my blog. There are tons of other trading blog that
you can go to and see whether they are bullshiting or whatever.
For those who feel that I am still talking senses about the
market and stocks, then you are my encouragement to
continue to post on my blog. Skype me, email me with
any of your doubts and queries. If I am able to help, I will
do so without attachment, if not, I will seek out the solution
from some reliable sources.

With this, I will end this post here and hope that all the
readers will have a wonderfully sparkling profitable
and financially rewarding 2012!

新的一年,新的开始,
一样的目标, 一样办的到!

1 comment:

Devil said...

Hey there.. Good to see you back. Happy new Year and HUAT AHHH!!

Ignore the loser, cant satisfy everyone. If blindly follow and don't know how to do own homework, then the loser deserve to loose!!

Disclaimer:

Please be aware that I am not a Certified or Qualified Financial Adviser, the views and recommendation on this blog is purely my own.

Please seek investment/trading advices from your Financial Professionals, Dealers, Remisiers before making any investing/trading decisions.

I will not be responsible and liable for any losses incur from my views and recommendations in my blog.

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