Nicolas Darvas Box Theory Trading Method

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Friday, May 22, 2009

Market View 22 May 2009

It was a pool of reds, as most stocks reverse from
green to close near to day-low, but there were still
a few bright spots which I will highlighted in the
other blog.

Profit-taking will likely be the main actor for today,
but there will be some supporting actors, which will
be the focus for today. Like what I said before,
follow the greens, if and when available. I don't mind the
sellings and profit-taking, as that is part-and-parcel
of the game, as it is a repeated pattern for eon.

I have not much to say today, only be cautious but alert to
any green tradining opportunities,and will be entering
Hot stocks.
Follow the Flow, but expect the Unexpected.
Concentrate on the GREEN (if available, but prepared)Hot
stocks:Ezra, KS Tech, Cosco, YZJ, Straits Asia, Indo Agri,
Noble, NOL, Olam, SembMarine, Yanlord & Uniasia,
Raffles Edu, Midas, Swiber, Swissco.

As usual, enter a position will a Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me
about stocks and all others,you can ring me at
my email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Market View 21 May 2009

STI closed yesterday at 2269.24, up a
very nice figure 8.88
Uncle Sam closed in the red, reversed an
early rise, and finished at day-low.
How will our market react today?

We are likely to see stocks in the red,
due to profit-taking, and maybe even
desperate selling. A handful of Hot stocks
may still be in the green, but looking at
most Hot stocks closed away from the day-high,
the number will be limited.

We have been earning from Mr Market using
the follow-the-green strategy, which is also
in my method highlighted. It seems like the
profit-taking is not over, and we may see more
in the coming days. Nevertheless, as long as we
are following the green, and trade only the Hot
stocks, with a strict cut-loss and/or trailing stop,
we are prepared for anything.

I received emails from members, saying some stocks
are looking to be "expensive" on fundamental ground,
and they won't be touching them.
Yes, they maybe "expensive" if you are using FA,
but I am using TA, and will follow on the stocks
until its play is over, and gravity takes over, and
maybe it will be back to the "correct" price.
But rest assure that MOST stocks will never be at
the "correct" price, as it is that "difference" that
make the trading popssible. If all stocks only reach
the "correct" price, and stop moving from there,
where is the trading opportunities?
For more reading on all these "incorrect", "expensive",
"cheap", "correct" price, refer to Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH).

I will be cautious but alert to any green traduining opportunities,
and will be entering Hot stocks.
Follow the Flow, but expect the Unexpected.
Concentrate on the GREEN (if available, but prepared)Hot stocks:
Ezra,KS Tech, Cosco, YZJ, Straits Asia, Indo Agri, Noble,NOL,
Olam, SembMarine,Yanlord & Uniasia,Raffles Edu,Midas,Swiber,Swissco.

As usual, enter a position will a Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me
about stocks and all others,you can ring me at
my email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Market View 20 May 2009

What a green day we have yesterday!
I believe most should have made some money,
and some readers are still holding the winners
till today for more gains, but with a trailing
stop, I hope so.

Uncle Sam is blowing hot and cold now, but it
seems like nothing can derail our market for staging
a surge to higher ground. The follow-the-green
strategy that we are using now is working well,
and if coupled with trailing stops, it should be
working for many sessions to come.

Although I believe that profit-taking will still
come into the market, but I observe that there
are still many supporters when the stocks are
dropping to an attractive level, and they will
grab, snap, and push up the stock to way pass
the day-low. It will need some drastic to cause
our market to reverse gear, and head south.
There are still lots of uncertainties in the market,
but the players choose to ignore the fundamental
doubts, and focus on recovery, and it is all
factored into the market sentiment now.
If WHO raise the level to highest 6, then we shall
see how the market react to it, but as long as you
have a cut-loss and trailing stops, you are fine
with every possible unforeseen circumstances.

The Hot stocks will be mixed for today, and some
will move up further, while others may face strong
resistance. Nevertheless, stick to the "greens",
and have stops in-place, and enjoy the day.

SembMarine is in the news, and it confirms that Petrolrig
has filed a lawsuit against its unit Jurong Shipyard Pte Ltd,
so we will see how it will turn-up to be.
I will be entering Hot stocks but it will be cautious.
Therefore, Follow the Flow, but expect the Unexpected.
Concentrate on the GREEN (available, but prepared)Hot
stocks: Ezra,KS Tech, Cosco, YZJ, Straits Asia, Indo Agri,
Noble,NOL, Olam, SembMarine,Yanlord & Uniasia,Raffles Edu,
Midas,Swiber,Swissco.

As usual, enter a position will a Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me
about stocks and all others,you can ring me at
my email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

MSCI Index Changes Update

Market is running well today, and I am giving
you this update on the MSCI Index changes,
in case I forgot yet once again.
I am entering this post with one eye, and
the other one at the market screen in fear
of south wind, but it should be OK for today.

MSCI Global Standard Indices
MSCI SINGAPORE INDEX:

Additions
STARHUB

Deletions
PARKWAY HOLDINGS

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MSCI Global Small Cap Indices
MSCI SINGAPORE INDEX:

Additions
CHEMOIL ENERGY
HI-P INTERNATIONAL
KEPPEL TELECOM &
TRANSPORATION (Keppel T&T)
OCEANUS GROUP
PARKWAY HOLDINGS
UNITED INDUSTRIAL (UIC)

Deletions
BUKIT SEMBAWANG ESTATES
CHINA FISHERY GROUP
CHUAN HUP HOLDINGS
HOTEL PLAZA
ORCHARD PARADE HOLDINGS
SINO-ENV TECH GROUP
SYNEAR FOOD HOLDINGS
UNITED ENGINEERS
UNITED FIBER SYSTEM
YANLORD LAND GROUP

The above changes will take place as of the close of 29 May 2009.

Looking at the changes, it is very likely to have impact and effect
on both the stocks in additions and deletion, as the MSCI Index
is well track by numerous funds and instutitions, and they have
to re-adjust their stock positions.
Keep a look-out.

Market View 19 May 2009

Uncle Sam ended up 250 points higher after
positive news from the housing and banking sector,
and our market pre-surge yesterday in anticipation
of overnight US action.

The "follow-the-green" that we have been using
lately is effective in such a market, and yesterday
we have 4 Hot stocks in the green in my list: Olam,
SemMarine, YZJ and Yanlord. If you entered any one,
you should have made some money yesterday.
Not a great sum, but only dim sum.

It is obvious that most stocks will open in the high note
today, but I am still pretty cautious at how strong today's
sentiment and trading mood can peak at. One should still
set the trailing stops, as the stock may suddenly applied
E-brake, and you will not want to be caught.
A few stocks are in the news, Sembmarine with the legal
action from Petrolrig, and YZJ has delivered 11 vessals
on schedule, and has 6.43Billion in the order book.

I believe that the profit-taking is not over yet, but if
the stock price drop to an "attractive" level, support will
come in and grab and snap up the bargain as seen in
yesterday's price action. Enjoy the action, but be prepared
for a south wind.

I will be entering some Hot stocks but it will be cautious.
Therefore, Follow the Flow, but expect theUnexpected.
Concentrate on the GREEN (available, but prepared)Hot
stocks: Ezra,KS Tech, Cosco, YZJ, Straits Asia, Indo Agri, Noble,
NOL, Olam, SembMarine,Yanlord & Uniasia,Raffles Edu, Midas,
Swiber,Swissco.

As usual, enter a position will a Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me
about stocks and all others,you can ring me at
my email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Monday, May 18, 2009

Market View 18 May 2009

Fresh new week.
Fresh new game.
Fresh new trading opportunities!

We had had a great wonderful surge for about
2 months, so how long will our correction resting
be? Frankly, it doesn't matters how long it
will be, as trading opportunities will
still present themselves, and you just have to
grab it.

Amid the big pool of red flowers, there will be some
"green shoots, and you just have follow them.
If you are comfortable, then save up the bullet
and wait for a confirmation signal later.

It is looking to be another profit-taking session,
and it is just a much-needed one, so sell all you can,
you Big Funds, Institutions...
I will watch from sideline, and enter when the
tide is turning, which will definitely come.
I don't believe that the latest surge is just a one-off
event, we will have plentiful of money-making opportunities
ahead. Don't worry, as long as you have trailing stops
in place, you have nothing to be concerned about.
I only worry for those who don't have stops,
and like to pray for miracles to happen, I wonder
what are the chances of such "appearance".

I will be watching for opportune entry into some Hot stocks
but it will be light and cautious.
Therefore, Follow the Flow, but expect theUnexpected.
Concentrate on the GREEN (when available)Hot stocks: Ezra,
KS Tech, Cosco, YZJ, Straits Asia, Indo Agri, Noble, NOL, Olam,
SembMarine,Yanlord & Uniasia,Raffles Edu, Midas,Swiber,
Swissco.

As usual, enter a position will a Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me
about stocks and all others,you can ring me at
my email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Disclaimer:

Please be aware that I am not a Certified or Qualified Financial Adviser, the views and recommendation on this blog is purely my own.

Please seek investment/trading advices from your Financial Professionals, Dealers, Remisiers before making any investing/trading decisions.

I will not be responsible and liable for any losses incur from my views and recommendations in my blog.

Take note that I may have current positions or seek to enter or add positions in the stocks that I wrote in my blog.

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