Nicolas Darvas Box Theory Trading Method

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Friday, December 11, 2009

Market View 11 December 2009

The green light still shines on....
Wall Street marches on with encouraging unemployment
and trade data. Dow was up at high as before closing the
day up 69 points, while Nasdaq gained 7 points, and S&P 500
advanced 6 points. Trading volume were considerably thin
ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate meeting
next week. One just have to be cautious of any bumps ahead.

Many pennies were red in yesterday session as profit-taking
step-in, but the selling is still very much "contained" within
a tight range. Since today is Friday, the trading today maybe
subuded, but watch for sudden push-up in the stocks that
I recommended. Many recommended were in top volume
yesterday, and they are still in the play-up and the momentum
is still intact. Once the wind comes, they will fly through the
roof again.

Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others,you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Market View 10 December 2009

As expected, after the quick brake, we are back on the road
again. Wall Street are back in the green after a volatile
session. Dow was moving within the positive and negative
region before staging a late surge to close near day-high
up 51 points. Nasdaq added 11 points while S&P 500 advanced
4 points. Is Uncle Sam back on the rally path?
I don't see any imminent tsunami yet, that is for sure now,
but you will hit some bumps along the way, and that is quite
normal and much-needed.

It is a clear sign that liquidities had flow into our local
market recently and maybe even since the listing of CMA.
Many pennies are more lively, and are being pushed everyday,
I love such volatilities of the market, and this should continue
for many days to come. When it reach a point when micro-pennies
are dominating the top volume stocks, then I will start to get
worry.

I received an email from a member yesterday "your picks is going up!
Think got around 3 of them rising at the same time.
Congrats!" I believe I have definitely more than 3 stocks
in recommendation that is running wild. You can add all the stocks
into a watchlist and watch their action. They are likely to be
winner stocks for some time. I will continue to trade those
I mentioned this week, and at the same time monitor some
potential heading-to-$1 stocks: Midas, Tat Hong, First Resources,
SingPost, ASL Marine....
The potential-$1 stocks are constantly always in my watch,
as I will do a scan for them everyday, and watch them for any breakout.

Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others,you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

Market View 9 December 2009

It is so interesting that what I wrote in yesterday's blog
is sort-of happening at the moment. I commented that
"My view: We are still in the right track, and it is very likely
we will be back in the green again, maybe after an quick brake."
Indeed, Wall Street applied a brake yesterday and closed in the
red. Dow slided 1% or 104 points, while Nasdaq & S&P500
dropped 17 points and 11 points. There were a few triggers
to the pool of reds. We have disappointing results from Mac Donald
and 3M, the Dubai debt issues, and the ever-mentioned
recovery doubts and uncertainities.
My view: Quick brake, and it will be back in action.

Back to our shore...
I mentioned that a year-end rally is on the deck yesterday,
and the pennies were running wild, lead by the crazy horse
China XLX which had a dual listing in HK, and that in-turn triggered
those recent in the dual-listing news and rumours' stocks
into action. We saw stocks like China Milk, Midas, Li Heng
surged on a high note.

Those stocks in my recommendation were also running up,
with Swiber, Mermaid, Ezion leading, just to mention a few.
They will face some strong "headwind" in early trading
today, but I believe they will recover strongly at the closing bell,
so watch for their action.
Is this really the beginning of the year-end rally like what
I mentioned?
I will take it step-by-step but it is looking bright at the moment,
and I will just be cautious of any weather change while enjoying
the sun-tan.

Focus on Yingli, Ausgroup, YZJ, Sinotel, Sinomem, Swiber,
Ezion, Falcon & Mermaid, PEC, Epure (added).

Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others,you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Tuesday, December 8, 2009

Market View 8 December 2009

Wall Street closed flat on Monday after "Federal Reserve
Chairman Ben Bernanke indicated that the central bank
expected a slow pace of economic recovery and plans to
maintain low rates for an extended period."
Dow ended up 1 points, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500
was down 5 and 3 points. Stocks was initially up from
the Fed chief's comment, but as usual, profit-taking took
the indices mixed in a volatile session.
My view: We are still in the right track, and it is very likely
we will be back in the green again, maybe after an quick brake.

I received an email from a reader asking whether there will
be a year-end market rally this year. It is an interesting email
that got me thinking. From what I see, we should have one,
although the scale may not be as "grand" as past years.
The funds and brokerage houses will need to do some
year-end window dressing, and stocks are likely to get
pushed toward the closing. But take note that, it will not be a
all-stocks basis. The concentration will be only on "selected"
stocks, that is, the funds and house favourite stocks aka
the BBs stocks, the blues, the mid-caps and some Hot stocks.
I have them in my stock recommendations, and you can see
their action in this December.

For today trading, I don't see that our market will be greatly
influenced by the mixed closing in Uncle Sam. It is likely we
will have a subtle open, but the actions will come into the
Hot stocks very soon.
Focus on Yingli, Ausgroup, YZJ, Sinotel, Sinomem, Swiber,
Ezion, Falcon & Mermaid, PEC, Epure (added).

Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others,you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Monday, December 7, 2009

Market View 7 December 2009

Wall Street closed the week with a good show, and it is
very likely to continue this week after a better-than-expected
job employment data. Dow started the day on a high
but profit-taking and sell-on-news took it into the
negative region before closing the day up 23 points.
Nasdaq advanced 21 points, and S&P 500 added 6 points.
There are a number of "reports" and "data" coming out
this week, but market sentiment and momentum is
likely to stay intact, amid regular and nothing-new
profit-taking along the way.

For our own market, I can only say that concentrate your
bullet on just a handful of good potential proven winner
stocks rather than trying to throw darts to pick up
a "good" stock. I like to stick to and follow winners, but take
note that I did not fall in love with those particular stocks.
I like to know the pattern of the stock movers, know when
and how the movers will move and under what circumstances
will it suddenly surge or plunge. All these are visible on the
chart and sentiment and momentum observation.
If you only purely trade based on the chart, you may fall into
what we call as "chart trap", as you are not the only one
who know and look at charts, I hope you know what I mean.
Don't ask me about it, but try to decipher it yourself, and
share with me what you have gathered.

Appreciate that profit-taking and sell-off, sell-down are
part-and-parcel of the trade, and you are likely to continue
to trade longer and eventually more profitably.
If you treat the stock market as a Casino, then you will
be suck down the drain very soon.

I believe this week will still present a lot of trading opportunities
to make money from Mr Market, but as always watch for the
weather change, and be prepared for it.
Focus on Yingli, Ausgroup, YZJ, Sinotel, Sinomem, Swiber,
Ezion, Falcon & Mermaid, PEC, Epure (added).

Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others,you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Disclaimer:

Please be aware that I am not a Certified or Qualified Financial Adviser, the views and recommendation on this blog is purely my own.

Please seek investment/trading advices from your Financial Professionals, Dealers, Remisiers before making any investing/trading decisions.

I will not be responsible and liable for any losses incur from my views and recommendations in my blog.

Take note that I may have current positions or seek to enter or add positions in the stocks that I wrote in my blog.

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