Nicolas Darvas Box Theory Trading Method

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Friday, July 20, 2012

Market View 20 July 2012


STI once again closed green yesterday while
the mid-caps and pennies are having a lackluster
session. I believe that this divergence will end
somehow, but in which direction? Seriously, I am
hoping for STI to take a break after entering the
3000 level so that it can move higher for the rest
of the year.

Genting hit another 52-week low yesterday before
closing for the day at 1.31 I have given my view on
the stock last few days and I believe it will have a good
support around the 1.29 level. Any breech of the
level will be chaotic.

A reader asked whether I will do a write-up on the
Ascendas Hospitality Trust and I am also thinking the
same question. It is a stapled securities with a unit in
a business trust and a unit in a REITs. I am not that
familiar with this, but I will do my best to provide my
personal view on this IPO.

Next, we have a reader who just wrote this comment
this morning, "Good Fri morning to SL, Mr SL, my fixed
d due soon, could you advice me which 3 counters worth
to invest with decent dividends.Thanks in advance.
Dio"
Thank you for your trust in me to give you my personal
view and analyst on where to put your precious money at.
But can you either email me or Skype me as I have some
more questions to clarify before I can provide an accurate
assessment.


Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict Money(Risk)-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.


If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others, you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.
See their comments here:
http://stocklobang.blogspot.com/feeds/comments/default

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山 

人笑我太疯颠,我笑别人看不穿     

Thursday, July 19, 2012

Market View 19 July 2012

First thing first, my personal view on the JB Foods
IPO is out at Singapore IPO Lobang . The application
will close at 12pm today so if you are interested, you
have another 3 hours plus to apply for it.

Ok, now back to the market.
I was seriously expecting to see the STI in red
yesterday afternoon, but somehow late buying
lifted the index back in the positive territory up
about 2 points. It seems that there is an invisible
hand supporting the blues and the index along
the way. Some readers asked me how and where
did I see the index going? To be frank, although the
index is above the 3000 mark, and there are reports
that it is overbought, I do still see strength and good
support in the market. But like what I told many
readers, the week starting from 23th all the way to
the end of the month will be crucial in providing a
good direction as to how the market is likely to
behave and perform in the last few months of the
year. A lot of people said that the worse month of
the year is October as that is the month when the
great crashes happened. Actually base on some
figures, the worst performing month is actually August.
You can bring out the charts and make a comparison.

Yesterday I mentioned that Genting is like fallen knife
and "It has been making 52-week low again and again",
Guess what? It make another 52-week low yesterday
and closed at 1.31 Don't ask me when will it bottom-up.
It is going to consolidate for a while before any buying
strength will appear. At the moment, it can continue to
make fresh 52-week low and I won't be surprise at all.
The nearest support that I can see from the chart is at
the 1.29 region.
 
Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict Money(Risk)-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.


If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others, you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.
See their comments here:
http://stocklobang.blogspot.com/feeds/comments/default

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山 

人笑我太疯颠,我笑别人看不穿       

Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Market View 18 July 2012

Ok, I received quite many Skype messages
yesterday but I was unable to reply as I am not
feeling well and went to the bed to rest for a few
hours. It is not that I am ignoring you or your
messages. I am feeling a lot better today after
taking a special elixir yesterday night. (Joking).
Keep the messages coming today....

Next, I will do a write-up of the JB Foods IPO
either this afternoon or tonight. I have been
through the prospectus a couple of times, and
it is looking good to me. More detail in the IPO blog.

Now, we come to the situation of Genting.
Yesterday, there were a comment left at the blog
and it read, " Anonymous said...
Hi Mr Lobang, Do you think it's a good time to buy
 some Genting? Looks pretty cheap at 1.36 now :)"
I believe that the readers should noticed that I
have not been talking much about Genting lately
so have it fallen out of my radar already?
No, on the contrary, I still have the stock in my
watchlist but I don't like what I see in the stock now.
It has been making 52-week low again and again
and frankly I don't know when will it stop and reverse
in its movement. I would rather follow a stock making
52-week high rather than a stock that is really a
fallen knife now. Technically, I won't touch the stock
and fundamentally wise, I don't see any incoming
catalyst to its business and the top and bottom line.

Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict Money(Risk)-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.


If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others, you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.
See their comments here:
http://stocklobang.blogspot.com/feeds/comments/default

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山 

人笑我太疯颠,我笑别人看不穿     
 

Tuesday, July 17, 2012

Market View 17 July 2012

STI edged up again to close in positive
zone yesterday but the mid-cap and pennies
did not really move much despite a 204 points
surge by Dow last Friday. It is like the whole
market had been frozen and is now waiting
for Mr Bernanke's comment tomorrow.

Ok, I received a comment yesterday and it is
as followed, "Good morning Sir, I would like to know
in stock market which is the worst month and best time
to buy stock. For now, do you think there are still good
counters with good price for dividend investing, could you
recommend us few good one to park our money in. Many
thanks again for sharing.
Mint"

I will quote the late Mr Mark Twain in answering the
above question.
"OCTOBER: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous
months to speculate in stocks. The other are July,
January, September, April, November, May, March, June,
December, August, and February."
I hope that the readers will get what I mean. There
isn't particularly a very good month to buy stocks,
although statistically proven that if you buy within the
October-April period, you are likely to get better returns
than the May-September period. If you looking to buy
stocks at the moment, it is either you got them with an
investment horizon of  6 months plus or I suggest you
to put the money into IPOs. I believe that the IPOs will
be one of the brightest spot for the time being with
good returns from the first few days of trading.

Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict Money(Risk)-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.


If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others, you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.
See their comments here:
http://stocklobang.blogspot.com/feeds/comments/default

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山 

人笑我太疯颠,我笑别人看不穿   

Monday, July 16, 2012

Market View 16 July 2012

Undoubtedly, the market is going to open high
with a bang this morning, but the usual question
will be, can it last for the whole day? STI with
the Blues has been charging higher last week
while the mid-caps have not participate much
in the small rally. That prompted a comment from
a reader and I will copy and paste what he said,
"Dear Sir, STI runnnn.....ing, commodities ignored!
Any advice which sectors usually partner STI?
Thanks, will see your next update.
Pop"

Actually, the readers need to know that there is
something as Rotational Interest or Rotational
Focus. You see, any sector's stocks, and in this
case, the Commodities, won't be going up in
a straight line. The 3 Musketeers, Olam, Sakari
and Noble have been preforming reasonably in
the last couple of weeks and it is perfectly normal
and healthy that the focus has been switched to
other sectors. We can have the recent IPOs in the
limelight for a couple of weeks, then we have the
Palm Oil counters surging pre and post of Felda
listing in Malaysia. As a investor and/or trader,
you need to be at where the action is, so how can
you determine what sector or which stock will be
focused next? I believe I have mentioned this for
quite many times, and it remains to be Volume.
The trading Volume is like the fuel that start-off
the car and allow the car to accelerate and up
the momentum until it has been used up. I hope
that the readers know what I am trying to say.
If not, skype and talk to me. I will try to explain more.

Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict Money(Risk)-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.


If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others, you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.
See their comments here:
http://stocklobang.blogspot.com/feeds/comments/default

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山 

人笑我太疯颠,我笑别人看不穿     

Disclaimer:

Please be aware that I am not a Certified or Qualified Financial Adviser, the views and recommendation on this blog is purely my own.

Please seek investment/trading advices from your Financial Professionals, Dealers, Remisiers before making any investing/trading decisions.

I will not be responsible and liable for any losses incur from my views and recommendations in my blog.

Take note that I may have current positions or seek to enter or add positions in the stocks that I wrote in my blog.

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