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Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Market View 12 October 2010

Ok, the market view has returned again.
I have been out of market action for the last
one week, and it is a good feeling that I am back.
Over the past week, I realised that I am no longer
the fit and strong NS boys I used to be, and
I am not as strong as what I believe I am.
It is always the case when something happened
that you "suddenly" feel the impact of not exercising
enough regularly and not having a healthier balance
diet. Life got to move on, but if you want to look
for more excuses for not exercising, then I have this
website for you.  www.1001excuses.sg
Don't Procrastinate further.

Actually, I don't feel that I have missed a lot
from the past week's market action. Many stocks
have not move much, or have been beaten back
to square one with few exceptions. I have been looking
at the charts of the indexes and stocks, and I have a gut feeling
that pop-out when I am looking at them. I believe that
a market correction will be coming very soon, and
it will be the one that many are looking for and it will
present a bargain-hunting opportunity again.
Don't tell me whether I am sticking out my neck for this
market view this time. I have risked my head many times
this year, and I have been right about my views with each
risk. It is still connected to my body and I intend to continue
to keep it that way. I am looking for the final push-up before
the musical chair stops and we shall see who will be the
last still sitting.

Some readers have been enquiring about GIC Global Logistic
and whether I will be applying for it. The answer is a
confident 'Yes' from me. I know that the price is at the highest
range in the indicative price, and they are using partial
IPO proceed to pay off debts and the most important thing
is that if the market correction comes, will the price drop below
the IPO price 1.96 To me, it is very simple, it is going to be massive
issue and its market cap will justified that it will be a
very liquid and volatile stock and it will be entering the STI index
in the next few reviews. I am keeping such a stock for
mid-long term as I believe its future upside capital appreciation and
dividend yield, and short-term erratic market movement will not
deter my view on the stock, so I am subscribing for the IPO.
Please read the IPO prospectus if you are interested in the
stock, but you need to act fast, as the application will close on
14 October, this thursday 10am sharp.

From today onward, I am taking a rather relax and steady approach
toward the market, and I may not be online on skype that
regularly. I will still continue to write market view when available
but you may encounter some "missing" issues as I may not
be able to write it on some particular days.

Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others, you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.
See their comments here:
http://stocklobang.blogspot.com/feeds/comments/default

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Thursday, October 7, 2010

Market View closed for another 2 days

Still feeling not too well, so the Market View ill
be closed for another 2 days. It will be back next Monday.

Monday, October 4, 2010

No Market View for the next 2 days

There will be no market view for the next 2 days
as I have food poisoning from the dinner I ate yesterday.
Going to see doctor later and will take a rest for
today and tomorrow.
Will be back on Wednesday.

Friday, October 1, 2010

Market View 1 October 2010

Wall Street fell on the last trading day of September
but the indexes still recorded their best performance
of the month in 71 years.
Dow lost 47 points,  S&P 500 fell 4 points and
Nasdaq lost 8 points.

We are into the first trading day of October and
Q4 2010, so what can we expect this month.
October is arguably the worst trading month in
history as Mr Market somehow like to crash on
this month, so is "This" the month?

I can only say that I am not comfortable with
the recent rally which left many stocks in an
unfavourable high price and it really shows on
the stock chart that I refer to. A correction will
be just right to at least push the price to a more
reasonably price range and any further rally can
continue from there. The market should be pretty
volatile and aggressive before the start of the
Q3 reporting. If there is any untoward nasty surprises
along the way, the end-result will be a fast and furious
sell-off.

I have started to take some money of the holdings
both for taking profits out of the winners and preparing
the money for the 2 major powerhouse IPOs listing
soon. I will park some money in GIC Logistic and
Mapletree Trust as I believe their mid-long term price
appreciation potential.

Ok, talk about Genting. Like what I mentioned in
yesterday's post, the support level for the stock
is only mere bids away at 1.84 based on the
1.86 closing price yesterday. Upside will be tested
at 1.90


Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others, you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.
See their comments here:
http://stocklobang.blogspot.com/feeds/comments/default

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Thursday, September 30, 2010

Market View 30 September 2010

Wall Street hit the pause button and "took a 
breather from a month-long rally on Wednesday, 
with investors bracing for higher volatility going 
forward as the best quarter in a year nears its end."
Dow lost 23 points, S&P 500 fell 3 points and
Nasdaq lost 3 points. 

Today is the last trading day of Q3, so can we expect
a window-dressing session today? A few of readers asked
me the same questions last few days, and I replied them
that even without all the dressing-up, the BBs and the 
funds are having strong and healthy performance, so I
expect a more subdued trading today. They just need to
ensure that the market don't crash before today is over.

Yesterday, a handful of readers and me went into Sound
Global at various entry price and all managed to make 
money out of the fast and furious surge from the stock.
If you don't know why it surge yesterday, please read
up the SGX annoucement. It is the "best" source of
information and news from the listed companies, 
although many time you will likely see a "We are
not aware of any reason or news..." when a stock is
surging high and wild.


Ok, Sound Global is going to be listed in HK through
introduction, and it is likely going to be interesting.
I will seek to enter again into the stock, but this time
without any high expectation like the previous session.
Many readers have been told multiple time that I
believe that it is a permanent >$1 stock, and I continue
to feel this way.


Genting is sitting at the psychological level of 1.90 and 
any surge will be capped at the recent high of 1.97
and support will rush in if it is in the 1.84 region.
 
Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others, you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.
See their comments here:
http://stocklobang.blogspot.com/feeds/comments/default

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Market View 29 September 2010

Wall Street rebounded to close in the green as
"latecomers jumped onto the September bandwagon, 
buying up sectors that have outperformed during the 
month." Dow gained 46 points, S&P 500 added 6
points and Nasdaq rose 10 points. 

Some responses that I received from skype and emails
yesterday ranged from that I am being too bearish and 
I will be right on my view. I have to mention again that
any positive or negative views on the market are purely
my own, derived from my observations or the chart or
even my gut feeling. I believe that the readers can make
his/her judgment and form his/her own opinion of the
market condition and sentiment. To conclude, I am bearish
on the market in October.


Ok, back to the stocks..
Genting indeed fell to the support level yesterday and 
closed at 1.95 The next fragile support level is at the
psychological 1.90 Further upside will be tested at 2.03 
With regards to other stocks, I am feeling the strain
of top-heavy positions which will triggered panic
selling if the sentiment changes.

Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others, you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.
See their comments here:
http://stocklobang.blogspot.com/feeds/comments/default

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Market View 28 September 2010

Wall Street closed in the red on Monday "as investors
took a break from a four-week rally, but they remained
optimistic the advance would resume as a flurry of deals
suggested companies were seeing value in the market."
Dow fell 48 points, S&P 500 lost 7 points and Nasdaq
fell 11 points.

I don't wish to paint a gloom and doom picture but
I believe that October will almost definitely not
as rosy as this September in term of the markets
and stocks performance. I see that a correction
selling will surface anytime soon and it should continue
until the Q3 result announcements pre-buying frenzy
start weeks later. Then we will see whether what
kind of "surprises" we get from the major powerhouses
both globally and local blue-chip. Whether the results
are within expectation, out-of-the-blue nasty suprises
or strong corporate results, we shall see.

Our market have been doing very well taking the
cue from the US market, and I believe that many
readers should have made money on a couple
of stocks and/or still holding to winner stocks.
That's good and  a reasonably placed trailing stop
is a essential way to protect the winnings.

Many stocks have reached and bounced off
strong resistances, and it is very likely that they will
retrace back to fragile support level which will be
broken one by one as and when the mass selling
comes until the selling slow and falter eventually.
Some people may think that because I missed the
strong run-up during my holiday so I am trying to
talk down the market. This is quite a narrow-minded
view and I certainly don't have such a thinking.

I have stock holdings as well, and they are concentrated
in those heavily traded counters, and if the market continue
to surge, I know that my holding will increase in value.
There is no need for me to talk down the market, and
I don't have that kind of super-natural or celestial ability
to do so. I am just voicing what I see in the market, and
if you don't feel that way or have entirely opposite opinion,
you are welcome to stick to yours while I stick to mine.

Over the weekend, I look through many charts and
the downside risk of many stocks overweight any further
potential upside. Genting is likely to be heading toward
the support level at 1.96 rather than toward the resistance
at 2.12

Enter any position with a Cut-loss level & Trailing Stop,
and Please practice strict (Risk)Money-management.
If you don't like what you see in the market,
simply don't trade.

If you have Skype, and would like to chat with me about
stocks and all others, you can ring me at my
email address: stocklobang@yahoo.com
I have currently a couple of members skyping with me
everyday,and they are having good trading results.
See their comments here:
http://stocklobang.blogspot.com/feeds/comments/default

As usual,
Stay Alert but be Aggressive too.
Audentes Fortuna Juvat !!

市场生存座右铭: 风林火山

Disclaimer:

Please be aware that I am not a Certified or Qualified Financial Adviser, the views and recommendation on this blog is purely my own.

Please seek investment/trading advices from your Financial Professionals, Dealers, Remisiers before making any investing/trading decisions.

I will not be responsible and liable for any losses incur from my views and recommendations in my blog.

Take note that I may have current positions or seek to enter or add positions in the stocks that I wrote in my blog.

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